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A tool that estimates how EUR/USD is likely to react in the first minutes after major U.S. economic releases, based on how it reacted after comparable releases in the past.

An estimate shown before the Actual is published. It uses only pre-release information (the indicator, Forecast and Previous), is clearly labelled Preliminary, and in historical testing has been close to 50/50 — treat it as context.

The surprise (Actual compared with Forecast) becomes known. The release analysis — our calibrated model — then replaces the preliminary estimate, once our data provider has received the Actual.

A release supported by our directional model. For these releases NEXTMarketReaction shows UP / DOWN probabilities for EUR/USD.

An event, such as a speech, that may move markets but has no supported directional model. We show it for context, without any UP / DOWN estimate.

Forecast is the economists' consensus published before the release; Previous is the value from the prior release; Actual is the newly published value.

How much comparable history supports a release-analysis probability: High, Medium or Low. It is not the probability itself.

These five horizons give a clear picture from the immediate reaction to the later short-term state without clutter. The underlying model still evaluates every minute internally.

Create an account, then submit your broker Account ID (UID) on the Unlock access page. Each request is reviewed manually; once it is verified, forecasts unlock.

Contact our support team. They can review your situation and explain the available access options.

Check that it matches the Account ID in your broker profile and submit it again, or contact support. Each UID can belong to only one NEXTMarketReaction account.

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