NEXTMarketReaction

NFP · CPI · GDP

See how markets reacted before — and what the model expects next.

Actual vs Forecast, past EUR/USD reactions and a model direction probability for major economic releases.

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Example analysis · illustrative valuesEUR/USD
  1. Economic release
  2. Actual data
  3. Model analysis
  4. Direction probability

United StatesNFP

High
Previous
162K
Forecast
90K
Actual
41K
Model direction
UP
Model horizon
1 minute
Modeled probability
72%
  • 1m · 72%
  • 3m · 70%
  • 5m · 68%
  • 8m · 61%
  • 15m · 56%
View release analysis

See How NEXTMarketReaction Works

A quick walkthrough of economic news analysis, market reactions, and the platform's main features.

Video in English (3 min). Watch on YouTube

What moves the market?

Directional analysis covers 11 major U.S. releases. Each guide explains what the release measures and how EUR/USD has typically reacted to a surprise.

Upcoming releases

Full calendar

High impact and directional releases in the next 7 days · times in UTC

  • United StatesUSD

    Impact: High

    Core CPI

    Wednesday, Oct 14 · 12:30 UTC

    Starts in

    Preliminary analysis available now.

    Previous
    0.3
    Forecast
    0.2
    Actual
    Published at release
    View analysis

  • United StatesUSD

    Impact: High

    Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    Wednesday, Oct 14 · 12:30 UTC

    Previous
    0.4
    Forecast
    0.6
    Actual
    Published at release
    View analysis

  • United StatesUSD

    Impact: High

    Core CPI YoY

    Wednesday, Oct 14 · 12:30 UTC

    Previous
    2.4
    Forecast
    2.5
    Actual
    Published at release

    Volatility event

  • United StatesUSD

    Impact: High

    CPI YoY

    Wednesday, Oct 14 · 12:30 UTC

    Previous
    3.4
    Forecast
    3.6
    Actual
    Published at release

    Volatility event

Don't just read the news. See how the market reacted.

The model is built from how EUR/USD actually moved after past releases of the same indicator, so every analysis starts from what happened after similar surprises.

Explore the releases How it works in detail

  • Real economic data
  • Historical reaction analysis
  • Probabilistic model
  • Live release updates

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees of future market behavior.

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NEXTMarketReaction